Published 10 September 2026 · By Jatin Dua, Broker of Record, RE/MAX Quantum Realty
Two very different bets at nearly the same condo price. In Q1 2026 a Long Branch condo apartment averaged $538K on 5 sales; an Islington-City Centre West condo apartment averaged $540K on 85 sales — against 257 new condo listings in the same quarter. Islington-City Centre West gives you two Line 2 stations including the Kipling terminus, the best highway access in west Toronto and a decade of civic construction. Long Branch gives you a lake, a beach, an accessible GO station and a low-rise street. Choose Islington-City Centre West for choice and negotiating power; choose Long Branch for scarcity and water. They are not interchangeable.
Same condo price, opposite markets
I want to start with the comparison that made me write this. In Q1 2026 (January to March 2026) — the most recent quarter TRREB publishes at community level, so roughly six months old — a condo apartment in Long Branch sold for an average of $538,000. A condo apartment in Islington-City Centre West sold for an average of $540,000. Two thousand dollars apart.
Long Branch got there on 5 sales. Islington-City Centre West got there on 85 sales, against 257 new condo apartment listings in the same three months. Same price, entirely different market: one scarce and slow at 82 days on market, the other deep and oversupplied at 40.
What that actually means for you
In a thin market you have no negotiating leverage as a buyer and no reliable exit as a seller. In an oversupplied one you have leverage going in and competition coming out. Neither is simply better. But you should know which one you are standing in, and most buyers do not.
The geography, and where the boundary blurs
Long Branch is tidy. It is TRREB community “Long Branch” in district W06 and City neighbourhood #19, and it kept both name and number through the City’s 2022 restructure: Lake Ontario south, the CN rail mainline north, Etobicoke Creek and the Mississauga boundary west, Twenty-Third to Twenty-Fourth Street east.
Islington-City Centre West is not tidy. It is TRREB community “Islington-City Centre West” in W08 and City neighbourhood #14, commonly described as Rathburn Road north, Islington Avenue east, Bloor Street south and Mimico Creek west — but the City’s actual polygon is materially larger, extending south and west of that. I would rather call it the Bloor-Islington-Kipling corridor than draw a false hard line and have you treat a listing outside it as comparable.
The full price picture
| Q1 2026 | Long Branch | Islington-City Centre West |
|---|---|---|
| All types — sales | 32 | 115 |
| All types — average / median | $995,150 / $972,500 | $762,943 / $580,000 |
| Detached — sales / average | 13 / $1,254K | 19 / $1,686K |
| Detached — median | $1,235K | $1,300K |
| Condo apartment — sales / average | 5 / $538K | 85 / $540K |
| New listings / active listings | 71 / 31 | 340 / 180 |
| Sale-to-list / days on market | 98% / 39 | 97% / 37 |
Two things in that table deserve unpacking. The detached average in Islington-City Centre West runs $432K above Long Branch, but on the median the gap is only $65K — when an average runs that far ahead of a median, a handful of large sales are pulling it, so budget from the median. And the all-types average is lower there purely because 85 of its 115 sales were condo apartments. A neighbourhood average tells you what sold, not what anything costs.
The housing stock behind those numbers
Long Branch, from the 2021 Census, has 5,290 occupied dwellings: 1,545 single-detached (29.2%), 2,005 apartments in buildings under five storeys (37.9%), 1,310 in buildings of five storeys or more (24.8%), 240 duplex flats, 95 semis and 80 rows. Owner-occupancy is 50.3%, population 11,360, and the 2021 average dwelling value was $1,088,000.
For Islington-City Centre West the most recent figures I can source are from the 2016 Census — older data, and I would rather say so than pretend otherwise. It recorded 19,911 total private dwellings and a population of 43,965: 64% apartments in buildings of five storeys or more, 27% single-detached, 4% rows, 4% low-rise apartment, 1% semi and 1% duplex. 8,340 of 19,340 occupied dwellings were condominiums — 43%, the most condo-dominated neighbourhood in west Toronto. Only 22% of the stock predated 1960, while 31% was built between 2006 and 2016, the newest in west Toronto by a wide margin.
- The houses are different animals. Islington-City Centre West’s detached pockets are largely 1950s and 1960s Etobicoke bungalows and backsplits; its towers mix 1960s and 1970s rental slabs with a heavy post-2006 condominium wave. Long Branch’s stock is 37.7% pre-1960, with 17.2% built between 2011 and 2021.
- Both are excluded from sixplexes. Council’s sixplex permissions, adopted 18 to 6 on 25 June 2025, apply to the Toronto and East York wards plus part of Scarborough. Etobicoke-York was excluded, which covers both of these neighbourhoods — so small-scale multiplex conversion economics are weaker here than in the old city whichever you pick.
Transit is where they genuinely diverge
Islington-City Centre West has two Line 2 stations inside it, Islington and Kipling. Kipling is the line’s western terminus and a real multi-modal hub: ten TTC bus bays serving the 45 and 945 Kipling, 44 and 944 Kipling South, 46 Martin Grove, 49 Bloor West, 111 East Mall, 123 Sherway and the 900 Airport Express to Pearson; a regional bus terminal that opened in 2021 serving MiWay and GO; and 1,067 commuter parking spaces. Highway access — the 427, the Gardiner and the QEW — is the best in west Toronto.
There is a second thing to keep straight. The Eglinton Crosstown West Extension will add underground Islington and Kipling stations on Eglinton Avenue West, roughly four kilometres north of the Bloor and Islington core — a different catchment entirely. It is under construction with no confirmed opening date, and I will not invent one. The confusing part: Islington and Kipling will each exist twice, on two different lines, about four kilometres apart. Make sure you know which one a listing means.
Long Branch has no subway and none is coming. It has three streetcar routes terminating at Long Branch Loop — the 501 Queen, 507 Long Branch and 508 Lake Shore — the overnight 301, the 110 Islington South and 123 Shorncliffe buses, and Long Branch GO at 20 Brow Drive on the Lakeshore West line, interchanging with TTC and MiWay. Browns Line puts the QEW/427 interchange at the neighbourhood’s western edge.
Right now, though, the streetcars are buses. The TTC is rebuilding Long Branch Loop and the Lake Shore Blvd W / Browns Line intersection from June 2026 into late 2026: the 507 is suspended and replaced by buses from Humber Loop roughly every ten minutes, the 508 was suspended for the summer, the 501C is suspended, and the overnight 301 is shortened with a new 301L bus. Confirm live status on ttc.ca, not on a listing sheet.
The trade in one line
Islington-City Centre West gives you the subway and the best highway access in west Toronto but a GO station that only runs at rush hour in one direction. Long Branch gives you a GO station and the QEW at your door but no subway at all, and buses instead of streetcars through late 2026.
Schools, culture and daily amenity
Islington-City Centre West is served by Islington Junior Middle School — whose site traces to 1832 and is among the oldest school sites in Toronto — plus Bloordale Middle School, Wedgewood Junior School and John English Junior Middle School, with Etobicoke Collegiate Institute and Richview Collegiate Institute for secondary. Michael Power/St. Joseph High School and Bishop Allen Academy on the TCDSB side are both significant local draws.
Long Branch draws on James S. Bell Junior Middle School, Seventh Street Junior School, David Hornell Junior School, John English Junior Middle School and Second Street Junior Middle School, along with École élémentaire Micheline-Saint-Cyr (Viamonde), The Holy Trinity Catholic School in New Toronto and Lakeshore Collegiate Institute at secondary. Note that John English serves both neighbourhoods.
Nobody, including me, can tell you which school your address is assigned to — check it with the TDSB’s “Find Your School” tool. And on the Fraser Institute ratings you will inevitably be shown: the current report uses data year 2023/24, and both the TDSB and the OPSBA dispute the methodology, OPSBA describing the rankings as a flawed picture.
For daily amenity the two are not competing on the same terms. Long Branch has Marie Curtis Park at the mouth of Etobicoke Creek with a supervised beach, the Waterfront Trail, the Arsenal Lands, an arena, a library and a low-rise, independent-heavy retail spine on Lake Shore Blvd W. Islington-City Centre West has Montgomery’s Inn (1832), the Etobicoke Community Museum with a working farmers’ market, Tom Riley Park — and the thing almost nobody writes about: the Village of Islington BIA’s 28 photo-realistic murals across roughly 15,000 square feet of Dundas Street West, funded since 2004 out of the BIA’s own tax levy.
The construction pipeline, named
Islington-City Centre West is one of the most actively rebuilt parts of the city, and the pipeline is public and named.
- Six Points Interchange. The 1961 “Spaghetti Junction” reconfiguration completed in 2021, restoring a pedestrian street grid and unlocking roughly 18 acres across seven blocks.
- New Etobicoke Civic Centre. Concrete at the ninth floor as of August 2026, completion expected 2028, bringing a library branch, pools, childcare, a public health clinic, an art gallery and a civic square of roughly 47,000 square feet.
- CreateTO Bloor-Kipling. 17.91 acres and roughly 2,700 homes across five blocks, about 900 of them affordable rental. Block 1 at 5207 Dundas Street West is under construction with 725 rental homes.
- CreateTO Bloor-Islington (Housing Now). 4.9 acres at 3326 Bloor Street West and 1126 Islington Avenue, 1,415 units planned with affordable rental, integrated with a rebuilt Islington station — still at development-concept stage.
Long Branch’s biggest change is not in Toronto. Lakeview Village occupies 177 acres directly across Etobicoke Creek in Mississauga, on the former Lakeview Generating Station site — approved for 12,000 units, raised to 16,000 by a 2023 ministerial order, with more than 45 acres of parkland and 1.5 million square feet of employment space. First occupancies are expected in early 2029, with the first building started in October 2024.
Where each one will frustrate you
Islington-City Centre West
- 85 condo sales against 257 new condo listings in one quarter. That is a buyer’s market with genuine resale risk. If you need to sell in three years, you sell into whatever that pipeline delivers.
- Sustained construction disruption. Six Points and the Civic Centre works run into 2028. Dust, hoarding, detours and crane traffic are the baseline condition, not an interruption.
- It reads as a high-rise node, not a village. Arterial traffic and noise on Dundas, Kipling and Bloor are constant, and the walk-to-independent-retail is the weakest in west Toronto. The murals are wonderful; the walk between them is along a road.
Long Branch
- The severance fight is live. Roughly 18 consecutive wins at the Toronto Local Appeal Body — mostly self-represented — is the record the Long Branch Neighbourhood Association reports against lot severances, and the City wrote Character Guidelines for the neighbourhood in 2017 for the same reason. Buying to sever is buying a fight.
- Flood history. The 1954 Hurricane Hazel flood took more than 40 homes and six lives in this neighbourhood, and Marie Curtis Park sits on the floodplain land reclaimed afterwards. Get a TRCA check on anything near Etobicoke Creek.
- Thin everything. 32 total sales and 31 active listings in a quarter means limited choice going in — and, for condos, 82 days on market coming out.
I do not have verified neighbourhood-level crime figures for Islington-City Centre West, so I will not invent a comparison. For Long Branch, the Toronto Police Service 2025 rates per 100,000 were assault 577.9, break and enter 182.5, auto theft 159.7, theft from a motor vehicle 129.3 and robbery 45.6, with no homicides and no shootings recorded — all below the city-wide 2025 assault rate of 767.9.
Where I would point each type of buyer
- Choose Islington-City Centre West if you want a condo at a subway terminus with real choice and negotiating room, if you commute by car or by air, or if you want a detached house at a west-Toronto price.
- Choose Long Branch if you want water, a low-rise street and an accessible GO station, and you are buying a house rather than an apartment.
- Think hard either way on a condo bought as an investment. One market has 5 sales a quarter; the other has 257 new listings a quarter.
- If you are a first-time buyer, the $580,000 Islington-City Centre West median is the more realistic entry point, and supply is on your side.
If this is your first purchase, I have set out how the process actually works in Ontario on my first-time buyer page.
Common questions
Is Islington-City Centre West cheaper than Long Branch?
On the headline number, yes — $762,943 average and a $580,000 median across 115 Q1 2026 sales, against $995,150 and $972,500 across 32 in Long Branch. But that is mix: 85 of the 115 Islington-City Centre West sales were condo apartments. Detached houses were dearer there, averaging $1,686K against $1,254K in Long Branch.
Does Kipling GO run all day?
No. Kipling GO is on the Milton line and runs weekday rush hour in the peak direction only — eastbound in the morning, westbound in the afternoon. There are no midday and no weekend trains. The corridor is largely CPKC freight track, and a February 2024 provincial plan for dedicated tracks enabling all-day two-way service was unfunded at an estimated cost above $6 billion.
Are Islington and Kipling stations moving to Eglinton?
No — they are being duplicated. The Eglinton Crosstown West Extension will add underground stations also named Islington and Kipling on Eglinton Avenue West, roughly four kilometres north of the existing Line 2 stations at Bloor. Both sets will exist. The extension is under construction with no confirmed opening date. Check which station a listing actually means.
Have prices really fallen in Islington-City Centre West?
Yes, and it is the one west-end community where I would say so. Year over year to Q1 2026, sales fell from 140 to 115, the average from $800,331 to $762,943, the median from $620,000 to $580,000, and days on market rose from 32 to 37. Those move together consistently, which points to price rather than a change in what sold.
Which is better for a first-time buyer?
Islington-City Centre West, on availability alone. It recorded 85 condo apartment sales at an average of $540K against 257 new condo listings in Q1 2026 — choice and negotiating room. Long Branch recorded 5 condo apartment sales at $538K and 82 days on market. Similar price, but almost nothing to look at and a slow resale.
What construction is happening around Islington and Kipling?
A great deal. The Six Points Interchange reconfiguration completed in 2021, unlocking roughly 18 acres. The New Etobicoke Civic Centre was at the ninth floor as of August 2026 with completion expected in 2028. CreateTO Bloor-Kipling covers 17.91 acres and roughly 2,700 homes, with 725 rental homes under construction at 5207 Dundas Street West.
Subway condo or lakeshore house? Let us compare
Give me the two addresses and I will run the real comparables for each — how many units like it are competing right now, what actually sold nearby, and what your exit looks like in three years. If one of them is a bad buy at any price, I will say so plainly.
Book a 15-minute call or call or text 833-330-1925.
No pressure, no drip campaign. If the answer is “neither, wait six months”, I will tell you that.
Related reading
- The Beaches vs Long Branch: Which Is Better?
- Danforth & Greektown vs Long Branch: Which Is Better?
- Islington–City Centre West vs Liberty Village: Which Is Better?
- Islington–City Centre West vs High Park–Swansea: Which Is Better?
- Free AI home value estimator
- Free AI condo value estimator
- This month’s Toronto and GTA market report
- TRREB Community Housing Market Report, Toronto West, Q1 2026
- Statistics Canada, 2016 and 2021 Censuses of Population
- City of Toronto Neighbourhood Profiles, #14 Islington-City Centre West and #19 Long Branch
- City of Toronto and CreateTO project pages, Bloor-Kipling and Bloor-Islington
- City of Toronto, New Etobicoke Civic Centre construction updates, August 2026
- Metrolinx and TTC service information, Milton line and Line 2
- Toronto City Council decision on multiplex permissions, 25 June 2025
- Toronto Police Service Open Data, neighbourhood crime rates, 2025
Jatin Dua is Broker of Record and co-founder of RE/MAX Quantum Realty, Brokerage, Unit 101, 799 The Queensway, Etobicoke. Four-plus years in the GTA and more than $100M in sales volume.
Islington-City Centre West housing-stock figures are from the 2016 Census, the most recent I can source for that neighbourhood, and are older than the 2021 figures used for Long Branch. Community price figures are TRREB Q1 2026, the most recent quarter published at that level. No opening date is implied for the Eglinton Crosstown West Extension. General commentary on two Toronto neighbourhoods, not investment advice and not a valuation of any specific property. Market statistics are as published by TRREB for the periods stated and change every month. School boundaries, transit service and development approvals all change — verify anything you are relying on before you make an offer.

