Published 10 September 2026 · By Jatin Dua, Broker of Record, RE/MAX Quantum Realty
For a condo buyer, Islington-City Centre West is the cheaper entry and Mimico is the stronger location, and both are buyer’s markets right now. In Q1 2026 Islington-City Centre West condo apartments averaged $540,000 across 85 sales against 257 new listings, while TRREB’s Mimico condo apartments averaged $678,000 across 109 sales against 305 new listings. That is roughly a third of new listings selling in each, in one quarter. The separating factor is not price, it is pipeline: Islington-City Centre West has thousands of approved and under-construction units queued around Six Points, and Mimico’s biggest project has been paused by its own applicant.
Two condo markets, two different MLS districts
People lump these together as “Etobicoke condos,” but they sit in different TRREB districts and behave differently. Mimico is in W06, along the lake. Islington-City Centre West is in W08, inland, around the Bloor-Islington-Kipling corridor. Its boundaries are commonly given as Rathburn Road to the north, Islington Avenue east, Bloor Street south and Mimico Creek west, but the City’s neighbourhood 14 polygon is materially larger, extending south and west — so I would describe it as the corridor rather than draw a hard line.
One quirk you need before reading any Mimico condo number: TRREB has no community code for Humber Bay Shores, so the peninsula’s towers are reported under the community name “Mimico.” The Mimico condo series is therefore substantially a waterfront series. That is not a reason to ignore it — it is the only sourceable series for that product — but it is a reason to know what you are reading.
Which one is actually more oversupplied
These are TRREB Q1 2026 (January to March 2026) community figures, the most recent quarter TRREB publishes at community level and roughly six months old as I write.
| Q1 2026 | Mimico (W06) | Islington-City Centre West (W08) |
|---|---|---|
| All types: sales | 145 | 115 |
| All types: average price | $798,862 | $762,943 |
| All types: median price | $665,000 | $580,000 |
| New listings in the quarter | 399 | 340 |
| Active listings | 215 | 180 |
| Days on market, all types | 40 | 37 |
| Condo apartment sales | 109 | 85 |
| Condo apartment average | $678,000 | $540,000 |
| Condo apartment median | $615,000 | $515,000 |
| New condo listings | 305 | 257 |
| Condo days on market | 44 | 40 |
| Sale-to-list, condos | 97% | 97% |
Read the ratios, not the headline prices. Mimico’s condo sales-to-new-listings ratio was 36%. Islington-City Centre West sold 85 condos against 257 new listings, close to the same proportion. Both are markets where a seller waits and a buyer negotiates. The 97% sale-to-list figure on both sides is the tell: nobody is winning bidding wars in either place.
The GTHA backdrop matters here
Urbanation’s Q1 2026 survey found that for the first time in at least 30 years there were no new GTHA condo project launches in a quarter, 246 new condos sold (down 52% annually), a record 4,295 completed and unsold units, 92 months of completed unsold supply on the market, and 8,629 unsold units under construction. Neither of these neighbourhoods is a local anomaly. They are two windows onto the same regional problem.
Why one is cheaper than the other
The roughly $138,000 gap between the two condo averages is location and product, not quality. Mimico’s series is dominated by newer waterfront buildings on the lake. Islington-City Centre West’s is a mix of 1960s and 1970s tower stock and a heavy post-2006 condo wave — 31% of its dwellings were built between 2006 and 2016, the newest stock in west Toronto by a wide margin, and 8,340 of 19,340 occupied dwellings are condominiums, about 43%, which makes it the most condo-dominated neighbourhood in west Toronto.
For a buyer, that gap is the whole decision. The lake premium is real and it is also the part of the price most exposed if condo values keep softening. If you want to know what a specific unit in either market should trade at rather than what its neighbourhood averaged, the condo value estimator is the right starting point.
The pipeline is the real risk
This is where the two places genuinely diverge. Islington-City Centre West is in the middle of the largest planned build-out in west Toronto:
- Six Points Interchange: the old “Spaghetti Junction” reconfiguration completed in 2021, restoring a pedestrian street grid the 1961 interchange destroyed and unlocking roughly 18 acres across seven blocks.
- New Etobicoke Civic Centre: under construction, concrete at the 9th floor as of August 2026, completion expected 2028, bringing a library branch, pools, childcare, a public health clinic, an art gallery and a roughly 47,000 sq ft civic square.
- CreateTO Bloor-Kipling: 17.91 acres, roughly 2,700 homes across five residential blocks with about 900 affordable rental. Block 1 at 5207 Dundas Street West is already under construction with 725 rental homes.
- CreateTO Bloor-Islington (Housing Now): 4.9 acres at 3326 Bloor Street West and 1126 Islington Avenue, 1,415 units planned with affordable rental, integrated with a rebuilt Islington station — still at development-concept stage.
Mimico’s pipeline is constrained by design. The Mimico-Judson Secondary Plan, in full force and effect since 5 August 2022 after Council approval in June 2016 and Ontario Land Tribunal approval in July 2022, requires employment uses to be built before residential and requires 100% family-sized residential units, with 29 Judson Street the single exception at 15% two-bedroom. That is why the Judson lands have moved slowly. And on the waterfront side, the City’s report dated 27 May 2026 records that the Christie’s site application — the one that carries the planned Park Lawn GO station and its Section 37 package — has been paused by the applicant, with the community benefits agreement unsigned.
How to read that if you are buying
More supply arriving near your building is a resale headwind. Islington-City Centre West has thousands of units queued and a civic centre that will finish in 2028; Mimico has a planning framework that slows residential and a flagship project on hold. Which of those is good news depends entirely on whether you are buying to live or buying to resell in five years.
Transit: a subway terminus against a lakeside GO stop
Islington-City Centre West has the stronger everyday transit and it is not close. Both Islington and Kipling stations on Line 2 sit inside the neighbourhood, and Kipling is the line’s western terminus and a genuine multi-modal hub: 10 TTC bus bays serving the 45/945 Kipling, 44/944 Kipling South, 46 Martin Grove, 49 Bloor West, 111 East Mall, 123 Sherway and 900 Airport Express to Pearson, plus a regional bus terminal opened in 2021 serving MiWay and GO, and 1,067 commuter parking spaces. Highway access is the best in west Toronto, with Highway 427, the Gardiner and the QEW all close.
Mimico’s rail option is the opposite shape: Mimico GO at 315 Royal York Road on the Lakeshore West line, roughly 433,000 passengers in 2019, with far broader service than the Milton line — but the station is not fully wheelchair accessible and getting to the platform means a tunnel and stairs. A 2022 Metrolinx agreement with Vandyk Properties would have replaced it; Vandyk went into receivership by January 2024 and the rebuild’s status is uncertain. Locally there are the 501, 507 and 508 streetcars on Lake Shore Boulevard West, currently affected by the 2026 Long Branch Loop reconstruction, plus buses 76 Royal York South and the 176 Mimico GO loop, and Gardiner ramps at Park Lawn and Islington.
One detail that confuses buyers constantly: the Eglinton Crosstown West Extension will add underground Islington and Kipling stations on Eglinton Avenue West, roughly 4 km north of the Bloor corridor. It is under construction with no confirmed opening date, and it serves a different catchment. Each name will exist twice, on two lines, about 4 km apart.
The honest downsides of each
Islington-City Centre West. Eighty-five condo sales against 257 new condo listings in a single quarter is a buyer’s market with real resale risk, and that is before the CreateTO blocks deliver. Sustained construction disruption runs across Six Points through 2028. The area reads as a growing high-rise node rather than a village, with arterial traffic and noise on Dundas, Kipling and Bloor, and the weakest walk-to-independent-retail in west Toronto. The redeeming local asset is the Village of Islington BIA on Dundas West, whose 28 photo-realistic murals cover roughly 15,000 sq ft across five blocks and have been funded out of the BIA’s own tax levy since 2004, alongside Montgomery’s Inn of 1832 and its working farmers’ market.
Mimico. The GO station has stairs and no confirmed accessible replacement. The condo series you will be quoted is really a Humber Bay Shores series, so an agent’s comparables can drift across Mimico Creek without anyone flagging it — ask which side each comparable sat on. Its own stock skews old, with 43.2% of Mimico-Queensway dwellings built in 1960 or earlier, and the City’s 27 May 2026 report identifies a shortfall in community recreation, library, childcare and school facilities in this area.
One thing that hits both: Toronto’s sixplex permissions adopted by Council on 25 June 2025 apply to the Toronto and East York wards plus part of Scarborough. Etobicoke-York was excluded. If your plan involves a small-scale multiplex conversion, the economics on either side of this comparison are weaker than in the old city.
Who should buy which
- Islington-City Centre West if you want the lowest entry price with a subway terminus and the best highway access in west Toronto, you drive as well as ride, and you can accept living beside a construction zone until at least 2028.
- Mimico if the water, the Waterfront Trail and Lakeshore West GO are worth roughly $138,000 more on the average condo, and full accessibility at your station is not a requirement today.
- If you are buying to hold and rent, weigh the pipeline before the price. Thousands of approved units near your building change the rental and resale picture; my notes on investment property in Toronto go further into how I underwrite that.
- If you want a house, Islington-City Centre West still has a detached market — 19 sales in Q1 2026 at an average of $1,686,000 and a median of $1,300,000. Mimico’s detached market was 17 sales at an average of $1,264,000. Both are small quarterly samples and both are dwarfed by the condo volume around them.
My honest position on both: these are markets where patience is worth money. Ninety-seven per cent sale-to-list and forty-odd days on market means you can negotiate, ask for a longer closing, and walk away from a building whose status certificate you do not like. Do not let anyone tell you a condo here needs a firm offer in 24 hours.
Common questions
Is Islington-City Centre West a good place to buy a condo in 2026?
It is a buyer’s market, which cuts both ways. In Q1 2026 there were 85 condo apartment sales against 257 new listings, at 97% of asking and 40 days on market, with the average at $540,000 and the median at $515,000. Year over year the average fell 4.7% on a consistent mix. You can negotiate, but resale competition is real and thousands more units are approved nearby.
Why are Mimico condos more expensive than Islington-City Centre West condos?
Location and building age. The Mimico series is dominated by newer waterfront towers, since TRREB reports Humber Bay Shores sales under the Mimico community name. In Q1 2026 the Mimico condo average was $678,000 against $540,000 in Islington-City Centre West. The gap is a lake premium, and it is the portion of the price most exposed if condo values keep drifting down.
Does Kipling GO station run all-day service?
No. Kipling GO is on the Milton line and operates weekday rush hour, peak direction only: eastbound in the morning, westbound in the afternoon. There is no midday and no weekend service. The corridor is largely CPKC-owned freight track, and a February 2024 provincial plan for dedicated tracks to allow all-day two-way service was unfunded, estimated at over $6 billion.
How much new housing is planned around Six Points and Bloor-Islington?
A lot. The Six Points Interchange reconfiguration completed in 2021 unlocked roughly 18 acres across seven blocks. CreateTO Bloor-Kipling covers 17.91 acres and about 2,700 homes with roughly 900 affordable rental, and Block 1 at 5207 Dundas Street West is under construction with 725 rental homes. CreateTO Bloor-Islington plans 1,415 units at development-concept stage.
Are Etobicoke condos oversupplied right now?
The regional picture is unusually weak. Urbanation’s Q1 2026 GTHA survey recorded no new project launches in the quarter for the first time in at least 30 years, 246 new condo sales down 52% annually, a record 4,295 completed and unsold units and 92 months of completed unsold supply. Locally, both these communities sold roughly a third of their new condo listings in the quarter.
Which has better long-term resale potential, Mimico or Islington-City Centre West?
Different risks. Islington-City Centre West has a subway terminus, a civic centre finishing in 2028 and the largest approved pipeline in west Toronto, which supports demand and adds competing supply at the same time. Mimico has the lake, constrained residential planning under Mimico-Judson, and a paused Christie’s application. Neither is a guaranteed outperformer, so buy the unit, not the story.
Comparing two Etobicoke condos?
Send me both unit numbers. I will pull what actually sold in each building, tell you which one has the softer resale ahead of it, and flag anything in the status certificate worth arguing about. If the honest answer is to wait a quarter, that is what I will say.
Book a 15-minute call or call or text 833-330-1925.
No pressure, no drip campaign. If the answer is “neither, wait six months”, I will tell you that.
Related reading
- Mimico vs Bloor West Village: Which Is Better?
- Leslieville vs Mimico: Which Is Better?
- Humber Bay Shores vs Islington–City Centre West: Which Is Better?
- Islington–City Centre West vs Bloor West Village: Which Is Better?
- Free AI home value estimator
- Free AI condo value estimator
- This month’s Toronto and GTA market report
- TRREB Community Housing Market Report, Toronto West, Mimico and Islington-City Centre West, Q1 2026
- TRREB Market Watch, August 2026
- Urbanation GTHA condominium market survey, Q1 2026, released 16 April 2026
- City of Toronto Neighbourhood Profiles, Neighbourhood 14 Islington-City Centre West and Neighbourhood 160 Mimico-Queensway
- CreateTO project information, Bloor-Kipling and Bloor-Islington Housing Now
- City of Toronto staff report on the Park Lawn Lake Shore area, dated 27 May 2026
- Metrolinx service information, Milton and Lakeshore West lines
- City of Toronto Council decision on multiplex permissions, 25 June 2025
Jatin Dua is Broker of Record and co-founder of RE/MAX Quantum Realty, Brokerage, Unit 101, 799 The Queensway, Etobicoke. Four-plus years in the GTA and more than $100M in sales volume.
Community-level figures are TRREB Q1 2026, the most recent quarter published at that level. The Mimico condo series includes Humber Bay Shores, which has no separate TRREB community. Nothing here is a valuation of a specific unit or building. General commentary on two Toronto neighbourhoods, not investment advice and not a valuation of any specific property. Market statistics are as published by TRREB for the periods stated and change every month. School boundaries, transit service and development approvals all change — verify anything you are relying on before you make an offer.

