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Burlington Housing Market 2027: Prices, Forecast and Outlook

Published 2 November 2026 · By Jatin Dua, Broker of Record, RE/MAX Quantum Realty

Burlington residential street with mature trees and the escarpment beyond (illustrative)

By Jatin Dua · Broker of Record, RE/MAX Quantum Realty · Updated 2 November 2026 · 9 min read — Burlington prices by home type, two-year changes, the tightest inventory in Halton, slow new supply and what to expect in 2027.

Short answer

Burlington detached prices have levelled off: the median was $1,249,750 from January to October 2026, flat with 2025, and the October detached benchmark was up 1.30% year over year. Condos are still softer. With 3.6 months of inventory, the lowest in Halton, Burlington enters 2027 close to balanced, and forecasters expect only small gains.

This guide is for Burlington owners and buyers planning a move in 2027. You will get two years of sold prices for every home type, the October 2026 market numbers, a month-by-month view of 2026, the benchmark prices, how much housing is actually being built, and what forecasters expect, with my own view kept separate.

What is happening to Burlington house prices?

Burlington detached prices stopped falling in 2026. The median detached house sold for $1,249,750 from January to October 2026, almost exactly the $1,250,000 of the same months in 2025. It is still 5.7% below 2024. Every other home type kept slipping, with condo townhouses and condo apartments down the most over two years.

Home type Median 2024 Median 2025 Median 2026 1-year change 2-year change Sales 2026 Avg days on market 2024 / 2026
Detached $1,325,000 $1,250,000 $1,249,750 0.0% -5.7% 1,034 22 / 29
Semi-detached $933,500 $915,000 $885,000 -3.3% -5.2% 96 19 / 25
Freehold townhouse $949,999 $921,750 $860,000 -6.7% -9.5% 156 21 / 31
Condo townhouse $775,000 $744,000 $691,000 -7.1% -10.8% 372 24 / 39
Condo apartment $596,000 $557,500 $529,950 -4.9% -11.1% 364 38 / 52

Source: TRREB MLS data via REALM, January–October 2026 vs the same period of 2025 and 2024. Median sold prices and average days on market, City of Burlington. Two-year change is my calculation.

The median is the middle sale, so it is not pulled up by a few large lakefront sales the way an average is. Two details matter for 2027. Condo townhouse sales jumped to 372 from 296, up 25.7%, as buyers who were priced out of houses stepped down to the next rung. And condo apartments now take 52 days on average to sell, two weeks longer than in 2024. For values on your own home type, see my guide to what your Burlington house is worth.

Is Burlington a buyer’s or seller’s market in late 2026?

It is close to balanced, and the tightest market in Halton. Burlington had 3.6 months of inventory in October 2026. That is TRREB’s estimate of how long it would take to sell every active listing at the recent pace. Oakville was at 4.9 and Halton as a whole at 4.2. Homes sold for 97% of their asking price on average.

Burlington, all home types October 2025 October 2026
Sales 214 214
Median price $923,750 $892,000
New listings 475 417
Active listings at month end 815 712
Months of inventory (12-month trend) 3.7 3.6
Sale price vs list price 97% 97%
Avg days on market (this listing / all listings) 39 / 52 32 / 48

Source: TRREB Market Watch, October 2025 and October 2026, City of Burlington, all home types.

Sales were exactly level with a year earlier, while active listings fell about 13% and homes sold a week faster. The October median was 3.4% lower, but a single month’s median moves with the mix of homes sold. Across January to October 2026, Burlington recorded 2,051 sales against 4,557 new listings, about 45 sales for every 100 new listings. In Oakville the same figure was about 34.

What sold in October 2026, by type

Detached houses made up 101 of the 214 sales, at a median of $1,200,000, and sold in 28 days on average. Condo townhouses sold at a median of $722,500 (42 sales), attached and row houses at $865,000 (21 sales), and condo apartments at $545,000 (37 sales). Condo apartments were again the slowest, at 46 days, with 207 still for sale at month end.

How did Burlington’s market move month by month in 2026?

2026 Sales Median price Sale vs list Avg days on market Months of inventory
January 109 $910,000 96% 53 4.0
February 126 $940,000 96% 49 4.0
March 207 $972,000 97% 39 4.0
April 250 $917,500 97% 31 3.9
May 278 $959,950 98% 30 3.8
June 279 $999,000 98% 27 3.6
July 221 $940,000 96% 37 3.6
August 193 $897,000 97% 38 3.6
September 177 $880,000 97% 34 3.6
October 214 $892,000 97% 32 3.6

Source: TRREB Market Watch, January to October 2026 monthly editions, City of Burlington, all home types, as first reported.

Burlington’s best stretch was May and June, when homes sold in under a month at 98% of asking. January was the slowest, at 53 days. Months of inventory eased from 4.0 to 3.6 by June and stayed there, which tells you supply and demand have been fairly even since spring.

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What moved the number

Starting from the area baseline for your property type, here’s what each answer added or subtracted.

Market context

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A range is a starting point.
A strategy is what sells.

This model doesn’t know that your neighbour’s identical semi went $80,000 over asking last month, or which two upgrades actually pay back in your area. That conversation is free and takes twenty minutes.

How this works — your estimate is generated by a model built on recent Toronto & GTA sale data, weighting area, property type, size, age, condition, lot and features. It is an automated estimate for information only. It is not an appraisal, not a Comparative Market Analysis, and should not be relied on for financing, legal or tax purposes. Real pricing depends on comparable sales, interior finishes and market conditions on the day — ask me for a written CMA before you make a decision.

What is the MLS benchmark price in Burlington?

TRREB’s MLS Home Price Index tracks a typical home rather than whatever happened to sell, so it is a better trend measure than a monthly median. In October 2026, Burlington’s houses were up slightly over the year, while townhouses and apartments were down.

MLS HPI type, October 2026 Burlington benchmark Change vs October 2025
Composite (all types) $850,800 +0.26%
Single-family detached $1,212,400 +1.30%
Single-family attached $888,400 +1.81%
Townhouse $657,100 -4.36%
Apartment $492,600 -5.69%

Source: TRREB Market Watch, October 2026, MLS Home Price Index by municipality.

Burlington’s 1.30% detached gain was the strongest of any municipality in Halton, Peel, York or Durham in that report. The GTA-wide composite was down 4.3% over the same year. If you own an apartment, my guide to Burlington condo values explains what moves one unit above another.

Which Burlington communities have the most sales?

TRREB divides Burlington into 21 communities in its quarterly reports, including Alton, Appleby, Bayview, Brant, Brant Hills, Freeman, Headon, LaSalle, Mountainside, Orchard, Palmer, Rose, Roseland, Shoreacres, Tansley, Tyandaga and Uptown, plus rural and industrial areas.

In the second quarter of 2026, the most sales were in Brant (104) and Appleby (98), followed by Headon and LaSalle (57 each), Roseland (56), Brant Hills (53) and Shoreacres (51). An active community gives you plenty of recent sales to price against. In quieter or high-end pockets, one sale can move the numbers a lot. My top 5 Burlington neighbourhoods for 2027 covers what each area is like to live in.

How much new housing is Burlington building?

Less than the province asked for. Ontario set Burlington a target of 29,000 new homes from 2022 to 2031. By the province’s count, Burlington recorded 1,897 homes of progress from 2022 to 2024. In 2024 it reached 1,185 against a yearly target of 2,417, or 49%, and the province marked the target as not met.

The City plans to put most future growth near its three GO stations, which it calls Major Transit Station Areas: Burlington GO (the downtown growth centre), Aldershot GO and Appleby GO. Here is where that plan stands:

  • Council adopted Official Plan Amendment 2 for these areas on 18 June 2024.
  • The Minister of Municipal Affairs and Housing approved it, with changes, on 10 October 2025.
  • Parts were appealed to the Ontario Land Tribunal. The City says a planned Community Planning Permit by-law for these areas is on hold until those appeals are resolved.

For buyers, slow building is one reason Burlington’s months of inventory is the lowest in Halton. For owners, it supports resale values, especially for houses. It also means new condo supply near the GO stations may arrive more slowly than the plan suggests.

What is the Burlington real estate forecast for 2027?

There is no reliable Burlington-only forecast, and I will not make one up. Here is what the main forecasters said, as of November 2026:

  • CREA (16 October 2026): national home sales up 4.4% in 2027 and the national average price up 1.2%. That is a Canada-wide number.
  • TD economist Rishi Sondhi said loose supply and demand in Ontario and B.C. would be a further drag on prices.
  • Bank of Canada (28 October 2026): raised its rate to 2.50%, expects housing to remain relatively weak and inflation to average about 3% in 2027. Its next decision is on 9 December 2026.
  • TRREB (4 November 2026): its president said a Canada-U.S. trade deal and an end to the Middle East conflict could renew buyer interest heading into 2027.
My take

This is my view, not a forecast. Burlington looks like the steadiest market in Halton going into 2027. The detached and single-family attached benchmarks were already up slightly in October 2026, listings are shrinking and new supply is slow. I would expect house prices to hold roughly where they are, with a modest lift possible if rates settle. I am more careful with condo apartments: they have fallen 11% in two years and still take seven weeks to sell. If you are selling a condo, price it to the most recent sales in your building, not last year’s. If you are buying a house, do not expect the discounts you might find in Oakville. Check my Burlington property tax guide when you set your budget.

Watch out

A lower October median does not mean prices dropped 3.4% in a month. Burlington’s monthly median moved between $880,000 and $999,000 in 2026, mostly because of which homes sold. Use the year-to-date medians and the benchmark index for the trend, and recent sales of homes like yours for your price.

What to do next

  1. Find your home type in the first table and check your expectations against the 2026 median.
  2. Look at how many similar homes are for sale in your community today; that is your competition.
  3. If you are selling a condo apartment, plan for six to eight weeks on market and price from day one.
  4. If you are buying a house, get pre-approved first; well-priced Burlington houses sold in about four weeks in 2026.
  5. Compare Burlington with Oakville and Milton in my Halton housing market outlook.

Need help with this? Talk to me.

I’m Jatin Dua, Broker of Record at RE/MAX Quantum Realty, and I’m the best agent to do this kind of work for you in Toronto and across the GTA. Over $100 million in GTA sales and 100+ families helped sell. Feel free to contact me any time: call or text 833-330-1925 or email [email protected].

Frequently asked questions

Are house prices going down in Burlington?

Not for detached houses in 2026. Burlington’s median detached price was $1,249,750 from January to October 2026, flat with 2025 but 5.7% below 2024, according to TRREB data via REALM. TRREB’s detached benchmark for October 2026 was up 1.30% year over year. Condo apartments and townhouses were still falling, by about 5% to 7% in a year.

What is the average house price in Burlington in 2026?

From January to October 2026, the median price for all Burlington home types was $934,000 and the average was $1,071,566, according to TRREB’s Market Watch. The median detached house sold for $1,249,750. The average sits above the median because a number of high-priced homes sell in Burlington each year and pull the average up.

Will Burlington house prices go up in 2027?

No one knows for certain. CREA expects national prices to rise about 1.2% in 2027, while TD says loose supply and demand will weigh on Ontario prices. Burlington’s detached benchmark was already up 1.30% in October 2026 and inventory is low. My own view is that houses hold steady or rise slightly, while condo apartments stay soft.

Is Burlington a buyer’s or seller’s market right now?

Burlington is close to balanced. In October 2026 it had 3.6 months of inventory, the lowest in Halton, and homes sold for 97% of asking on average, according to TRREB. Oakville, by comparison, had 4.9 months. Active listings were about 13% lower than a year earlier, so buyers have choice but not as much leverage as elsewhere.

How long does it take to sell a house in Burlington?

About a month for a detached house. Burlington detached homes averaged 29 days on market from January to October 2026, according to TRREB data via REALM, and 28 days in October 2026. Condo apartments took much longer, at 52 days on average for the year. Homes sold fastest in June 2026, at 27 days across all types.

How much is a condo in Burlington in 2026?

The median Burlington condo apartment sold for $529,950 from January to October 2026, down 4.9% from 2025 and 11.1% from 2024, according to TRREB data via REALM. Condo townhouses had a median of $691,000. TRREB’s apartment benchmark for Burlington was $492,600 in October 2026, down 5.69% from a year earlier.

How many new homes is Burlington building?

Fewer than its target. Ontario set Burlington a goal of 29,000 new homes from 2022 to 2031. Provincial data shows 1,897 homes of progress from 2022 to 2024, and 1,185 in 2024, which was 49% of that year’s target of 2,417. The City plans most future growth around the Burlington, Aldershot and Appleby GO stations.

Which Burlington neighbourhoods have the most home sales?

In the second quarter of 2026, TRREB’s community report showed the most Burlington sales in Brant (104) and Appleby (98), then Headon and LaSalle (57 each), Roseland (56), Brant Hills (53) and Shoreacres (51). TRREB divides Burlington into 21 communities. Areas with more sales give sellers and buyers more recent comparables to price from.

Are Burlington condo townhouses selling well?

They are selling more, at lower prices. Burlington condo townhouse sales rose 25.7% to 372 from January to October 2026, according to TRREB data via REALM, while the median fell 7.1% to $691,000. Average days on market rose to 39 from 24 in 2024. Buyers are using them as a cheaper step between a condo and a house.

Sources

Related reading

About the author — Jatin Dua, Toronto and GTA real estate broker

I am Jatin Dua, Broker of Record and co-founder of RE/MAX Quantum Realty Inc., Brokerage, Unit 101, 799 The Queensway, Toronto. I work with buyers and sellers across Toronto and the GTA and have helped more than 100 families sell. Four-plus years of active GTA transactions and over $100 million in sales volume.

Reach me at [email protected] or 833-330-1925, or book a call.

Please read this. General information current as at 2 November 2026. It is not legal, tax, accounting, mortgage or financial advice. I am a registered real estate broker, not a lawyer, accountant or mortgage agent. Market figures are TRREB MLS data accessed through REALM or come from the sources linked above; they describe past sales and are not a forecast. Rules, rates and programs change, so confirm details with the official source or a licensed professional before you rely on them.

Call or text 833-330-1925
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