Is Humber Bay Shores Safe? The 2026 Data on Etobicoke’s Condo Waterfront

Last updated 9 August 2026. Figures are Toronto Police Service open data for calendar year 2025, the most recent complete year published, expressed per 100,000 residents unless stated otherwise. Humber Bay Shores is its own City of Toronto neighbourhood (population 26,343). Sources at the bottom.

Quick answer

Yes — it is one of the quieter neighbourhoods in Toronto on the reported data. In 2025 Humber Bay Shores recorded 4 robberies, 25 break-and-enters and 120 assaults among 26,343 residents. Its robbery rate of 15 per 100,000 was the seventh lowest of Toronto’s 158 neighbourhoods, against a city average of 78.

On the five main crime indicators combined it ranked 139th of 158 — meaning only 19 Toronto neighbourhoods had lower rates. The realistic risk here is property crime in and around the towers, not violence on the promenade.

The 2025 numbers

2025, per 100,000 residents Humber Bay Shores Toronto Count
Assault 456 768 120
Break and enter 95 190 25
Robbery 15 78 4
Auto theft 186 225 49
Theft from a motor vehicle 72 212 19
Theft over $5,000 42 61 11

Every one of the six is below the Toronto average. The break-and-enter rate is half the city figure and the theft-from-vehicle rate is a third of it — which makes sense in a neighbourhood where nearly everyone parks underground behind a door rather than on a driveway.

Where Humber Bay Shores sits against all 158 Toronto neighbourhoods in 2025 — remember rank 158 is the lowest rate in the city:

Indicator Rank of 158 Meaning
Robbery 152nd 7th lowest rate in Toronto
Theft from a motor vehicle 152nd 7th lowest rate in Toronto
Break and enter 135th 24th lowest
Assault 122nd 37th lowest
Auto theft 84th middle of the pack
All five combined 139th 20th lowest in Toronto

Where the incidents actually happen

This is the part a rate cannot tell you. The Toronto Police Major Crime Indicators dataset records a premises type for every occurrence. Across all 217 major-crime records with a 2025 occurrence date in Humber Bay Shores:

Premises type Count Share
Apartment (includes condominium buildings and their garages) 107 49%
Outside 92 42%
Commercial 6 3%
Transit 5 2%
Other 5 2%
House 2 1%

Roughly half of everything reported in the neighbourhood happens inside a building, not on the street. In a neighbourhood that is essentially thirty-odd condo towers, that is exactly what you would expect — and it is the practical argument for asking hard questions about one specific building rather than about the neighbourhood as a whole.

What I tell buyers to ask

Ask property management three things: how garage access is controlled and whether fobs are audited, whether there is a concierge overnight or only during the day, and what incidents have been reported in the garage in the last two years. Then read the status certificate. The gap between the best-run and worst-run tower in Humber Bay Shores is far bigger than the gap between Humber Bay Shores and any neighbouring area.

The honest caveats

  • The dataset records two homicides in Humber Bay Shores in 2022, and none in 2021, 2023, 2024 or 2025. It also records one or two shootings in most years — one in 2021, three in 2022, and one in each of 2023, 2024 and 2025. Low rates are not zero, and I am not going to present them as zero.
  • Auto theft is the one line that moves. It went 82 in 2023, down to 32 in 2024, back up to 49 in 2025. Toronto-wide auto theft fell steeply across the same period, from 12,418 to 7,240. Underground parking is a target because it concentrates vehicles.
  • Daytime population is far larger than resident population. The waterfront parks, the Martin Goodman Trail and the promenade pull in visitors from across the west end, particularly in summer. Rates calculated per resident do not account for that, which if anything makes the low numbers here more impressive rather than less.
  • Small counts are volatile. Four robberies is four robberies. If next year it is nine, the rate more than doubles and nothing meaningful has changed about the neighbourhood.

The safety issue nobody puts in a crime table: traffic

When residents here raise a safety concern with me, it is almost never crime. It is the Park Lawn and Lake Shore Boulevard West intersection, and the fact that a neighbourhood of this density is served by a small number of road connections and no GO station. Lake Shore Boulevard West is a wide, fast arterial. If you have young children, or you plan to walk and cycle everywhere, the distance from your building to a signalised crossing and to the Martin Goodman Trail entrance matters more to your daily life than the assault rate does.

The City of Toronto’s Vision Zero dashboard maps road-safety data if that is your concern. It is worth ten minutes before you choose between two towers on opposite sides of Lake Shore.

Comparing two Humber Bay Shores buildings?

Tell me which towers you are looking at. I will give you the honest read on each — garage security, management quality, fees, exposure and what actually resells — and I will tell you if the one you like is the weaker buy.

connect@jatindua.com · 437-987-1925 · Book a free consultation

Confidential. Reviewed personally and answered within 24 hours. I never share, sell or distribute your information.

Frequently asked questions

Is Humber Bay Shores safe?

Yes, on the reported data it is among the quieter neighbourhoods in Toronto. In 2025 it recorded 4 robberies, 25 break-and-enters, 49 auto thefts and 120 assaults among 26,343 residents, and every one of those rates was below the Toronto average. On the five main indicators combined it ranked 139th of Toronto’s 158 neighbourhoods, where 158 is the lowest.

Is Humber Bay Shores safe at night?

The reported data supports it — four robberies across the entire neighbourhood in 2025, the seventh-lowest rate in Toronto. The promenade and parks are well used in the evening in warmer months and much emptier in winter. The stretch worth judging for yourself is the walk between your building and the Lake Shore Boulevard bus stop after dark.

Is crime increasing in Humber Bay Shores?

Not on the 2025 figures. Assaults fell from 152 in 2023 to 131 in 2024 to 120 in 2025, and break-and-enters from 37 to 33 to 25. Auto theft is the exception and it bounces: 82 in 2023, 32 in 2024, 49 in 2025, against a city-wide auto theft decline from 12,418 to 7,240 over the same period.

Are the condo garages in Humber Bay Shores secure?

It varies enormously by building, and that is the point. Roughly half of all major-crime occurrences recorded in the neighbourhood in 2025 had a premises type of “Apartment,” which includes condo buildings and their garages. Ask management about access control, fob auditing, overnight concierge coverage and garage incident history, and read the status certificate.

Is Humber Bay Shores safer than downtown Toronto?

On 2025 rates, comfortably. Humber Bay Shores ranked 139th of 158 Toronto neighbourhoods on the five combined indicators; the downtown core neighbourhoods sit far higher up that list. That is partly a genuine difference and partly because downtown neighbourhoods host huge daytime and nighttime populations that never appear in a per-resident denominator.

Where can I check Humber Bay Shores crime data myself?

The Toronto Police Service Public Safety Data Portal at data.torontopolice.on.ca. Humber Bay Shores is one of the City of Toronto’s 158 named neighbourhoods, so you can filter both the Neighbourhood Crime Rates and Major Crime Indicators datasets directly to it. Both are free.

Sources

Read next

Looking at Etobicoke more broadly? Start with my Etobicoke community guide — the neighbourhoods, what each pocket is like, and where they sit relative to one another.

About the author — Jatin Dua, Etobicoke real estate agent

I am Jatin Dua, a Realtor with RE/MAX Quantum Realty, working from 799 The Queensway. I sell in Humber Bay Shores regularly and I will tell you plainly when a building is the weaker of two options.

connect@jatindua.com · 437-987-1925

Please read this. Crime data is historical. It describes reported occurrences in a past period, not what will happen at a specific address, and it changes year to year. Rates calculated per resident do not account for visitors, workers or daytime population, and small counts are volatile — a handful of incidents can move a rate sharply without anything meaningful changing. Nothing here is a prediction, a guarantee or an assessment of any building or property. Do your own research, check the Toronto Police Service data directly, and visit at different times of day and different days of the week. As a licensed Realtor I present this information equally for every neighbourhood and will show you a home anywhere you choose to look; I do not steer buyers toward or away from any area, and I do not discuss the composition of a neighbourhood’s residents. Jatin Dua, Realtor, RE/MAX Quantum Realty. Not intended to solicit buyers or sellers currently under contract. E. & O.E.

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