Published 2 November 2026 · By Jatin Dua, Broker of Record, RE/MAX Quantum Realty
From January to October 2026, Burlington’s median detached price was flat at $1,249,750, the best result in the GTA. Aurora fell 2.0%, Georgina 2.1%, Oakville 3.0% and Clarington 4.1%, according to TRREB MLS data via REALM. Inside Toronto, detached medians rose in districts C10, W07 and W06.
This guide is for GTA homeowners and buyers who want to know where detached house prices held their value in 2026, and what that means for selling or buying in 2027. You get the five municipalities where the median detached price fell least, the Toronto districts that actually rose, and how to read the numbers for your own home.
Are detached house prices still falling in the GTA?
Yes, in most places, but not by much in some. Comparing January to October 2026 with the same ten months of 2025, the median detached price fell in every GTA municipality outside Toronto, according to TRREB MLS data via REALM. The size of the drop varied a lot, from almost nothing in Burlington to 11.1% in East Gwillimbury.
TRREB’s monthly figures tell a similar story. In October 2026, the average GTA detached price was $1,310,627, down 3.2% from a year earlier, and detached sales were down 4.4%. Across all home types, TRREB said buyers held back because of uncertainty about inflation, borrowing costs and the economy. On 28 October 2026 the Bank of Canada raised its policy rate to 2.50%, its first increase in more than three years.
How did I rank where detached prices held up best?
I compared the median detached sale price for January to October 2026 with the same months of 2025. A median is the middle sale: half sold for more and half for less, so a few very large sales do not distort it.
- GTA municipalities only. I used the towns and cities of Peel, York, Durham and Halton. Mono, Orangeville and Hamilton are in TRREB’s data but outside the GTA, so I left them out.
- At least 140 detached sales in 2026. That is the same test I used for my list of where detached prices fell most. It removes small markets where a few sales swing the median. Brock, for example, fell only 2.8%, but on 108 sales.
- Toronto separately. TRREB reports Toronto by district, so I cover its districts in their own section below.
This is a look back at sales, not a forecast. A town-wide median also hides big gaps between streets, lot sizes and the age of homes.
| Detached, Jan–Oct | 2024 median | 2025 median | 2026 median | Change vs 2025 | Change vs 2024 | 2026 sales | Avg days on market 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burlington | $1,325,000 | $1,250,000 | $1,249,750 | 0.0% | -5.7% | 1,034 | 29 |
| Aurora | $1,560,500 | $1,397,500 | $1,370,000 | -2.0% | -12.2% | 325 | 32 |
| Georgina | $860,000 | $817,554 | $800,000 | -2.1% | -7.0% | 475 | 36 |
| Oakville | $1,763,000 | $1,675,000 | $1,625,000 | -3.0% | -7.8% | 1,162 | 33 |
| Clarington | $875,166 | $855,000 | $820,000 | -4.1% | -6.3% | 721 | 25 |
| Brampton (for contrast) | $1,127,250 | $1,042,750 | $950,000 | -8.9% | -15.7% | 2,280 | 30 |
Source: TRREB MLS data via REALM, January–October 2026 vs the same period of 2025 and 2024. Medians cover each whole municipality.
1. Burlington: flat
Burlington held up best in the GTA. Its median detached price was $1,249,750, just $250 below the $1,250,000 median a year earlier. The average detached price actually edged up, to $1,402,685 from $1,399,485. Sales were close to last year at 1,034, down 2.0%, and homes took about 29 days on average to sell, the same as in 2025.
Burlington is not immune, though. Its median is still about 5.7% below the 2024 level of $1,325,000. What changed is that the slide stopped in 2026.
What it means: sellers have less reason to cut deep, and buyers have less room to negotiate than in most of the GTA. My Oakville, Burlington and Milton market outlook covers all of Halton.
2. Aurora: down 2.0%
Aurora’s median detached price was $1,370,000, down 2.0% from $1,397,500. Sales rose 9.1%, to 325, and homes took about 32 days to sell, up from 28.
There is an important catch. Aurora had already fallen hard in 2025, from $1,560,500 in 2024. Over two years its median is down about 12.2%, one of the larger two-year drops in York Region. So Aurora held up in 2026 mainly because the reset had already happened.
What it means: rising sales at a steady price suggest buyers see value at this level. That is a healthier sign than a flat price on falling sales.
3. Georgina: down 2.1%
Georgina, which takes in Keswick, Sutton and Pefferlaw, had a median detached price of $800,000, down 2.1% from $817,554. It was $860,000 in 2024, so the two-year drop is about 7.0%. Sales slipped 5.8%, to 475, and homes took about 36 days on average to sell.
Georgina is the lowest-priced detached market in York Region, and that matters. In my experience, buyers who are priced out further south look here, which helps support prices.
What it means: homes take longer to sell here than in most of the GTA, so sellers need patience. My guide to what a home in Keswick and Georgina is worth explains how I price one.
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4. Oakville: down 3.0%
Oakville’s median detached price was $1,625,000, down 3.0% from $1,675,000, and about 7.8% below the 2024 median of $1,763,000. Sales rose 8.5%, to 1,162, and homes took about 33 days to sell.
For a market this expensive, that is a steady result. Most Oakville detached buyers need at least 20% down, because insured mortgages are capped at a $1.5 million purchase price. In my experience, buyers with that much equity are less sensitive to small rate changes.
What it means: rising sales and a small price dip point to a market that is working, not frozen. Well-priced homes sell.
5. Clarington: down 4.1%
Clarington, which includes Bowmanville and Courtice, had a median detached price of $820,000, down 4.1% from $855,000. Over two years it is down about 6.3%, the second-smallest two-year drop among the GTA municipalities I ranked, after Burlington. Homes also sold quickly, in about 25 days on average, faster than any other city on this list.
The weak spot is sales. They fell 12.3%, to 721. Fewer buyers at a steady price can mean sellers are holding out rather than cutting.
What it means: good homes still move fast, but the pool of buyers has shrunk. Just outside the top five were Ajax, down 4.2%, and Vaughan, down 5.0%.
Which Toronto districts held up best for detached homes?
Several Toronto districts did better than any city outside Toronto. Three had detached medians that rose in 2026:
| District (main communities) | 2025 median | 2026 median | Change | 2026 sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C10 (Mount Pleasant East and West) | $1,940,000 | $2,125,000 | +9.5% | 88 |
| W07 (Stonegate-Queensway) | $1,450,000 | $1,548,000 | +6.8% | 140 |
| W06 (Mimico, New Toronto, Long Branch, Alderwood) | $1,160,000 | $1,179,000 | +1.6% | 235 |
| E03 (Danforth Village-East York, East York, O’Connor-Parkview and others) | $1,200,000 | $1,195,000 | -0.4% | 375 |
| W02 (High Park North, Junction, Runnymede-Bloor West Village and others) | $1,655,500 | $1,637,500 | -1.1% | 194 |
Source: TRREB MLS data via REALM, January–October 2026 vs the same period of 2025. District-wide medians, not neighbourhood values. Community names from TRREB’s Q2 2026 community reports.
Read these with care. C10 had only 88 detached sales, so a handful of large homes can move its median a lot. For a benchmark-based view of the same question, see my post on the GTA areas where prices held up best, which uses TRREB’s price index instead of medians.
Why did prices hold up better in some GTA cities?
The data shows what happened, not why, so the following is my view. Three patterns stand out:
- An earlier reset. Aurora fell sharply in 2025, so there was less left to fall in 2026.
- Price level. Georgina and Clarington are among the cheaper detached markets in the GTA, and buyers stretching for a detached house tend to land there.
- Steady demand. Burlington and Oakville had busy markets with sales close to or above 2025 levels.
Looking ahead, CREA forecast in October 2026 that the national average price would rise about 1.2% in 2027, but that forecast came before the Bank of Canada’s rate increase. The Bank said it expects housing to remain relatively weak, and its next decision is on 9 December 2026. Nobody can promise that these five will keep holding up. For the city-by-city view, see my GTA detached home prices for 2027.
A flat town-wide median does not mean your house is worth what it was last year. The mix of homes that sold can change from one year to the next. If more large or newer homes sold in 2026, the median can hold steady even while similar homes lost value. Price your home against recent sales of homes like yours, not against a headline percentage.
If you are selling in one of these five places, you are in a better spot than most GTA sellers, but do not test the market with a 2024 price. Price close to the latest comparable sales and you will usually sell faster and for more. If you are buying here, expect less room to negotiate than in Brampton or York Region’s harder-hit towns, and put your effort into finding the right house rather than the biggest discount.
What to do next
- Find your municipality or district in the tables above and note both the one-year and two-year change.
- Pull the last three to six months of sales for homes like yours on similar lots.
- Get a value estimate for your home before you set a price or make an offer.
- Watch the Bank of Canada’s 9 December 2026 decision, because rates will shape spring 2027 demand.
Need help with this? Talk to me.
I’m Jatin Dua, Broker of Record at RE/MAX Quantum Realty, and I’m the best agent to do this kind of work for you in Toronto and across the GTA. Over $100 million in GTA sales and 100+ families helped sell. Feel free to contact me any time: call or text 833-330-1925 or email [email protected].
Frequently asked questions
Where are house prices not falling in the GTA?
Burlington is the clearest example. Its median detached price was $1,249,750 from January to October 2026, just $250 below the same period of 2025, according to TRREB MLS data via REALM. Inside Toronto, detached medians rose in districts C10 (up 9.5%), W07 (up 6.8%) and W06 (up 1.6%). Every other GTA municipality outside Toronto recorded some decline.
Did house prices go up anywhere in the GTA in 2026?
Yes, in a few Toronto districts. Comparing January to October 2026 with 2025, the median detached price rose 9.5% in C10 (Mount Pleasant), 6.8% in W07 (Stonegate-Queensway) and 1.6% in W06 (Mimico, New Toronto, Long Branch and Alderwood). Outside Toronto, no municipality’s detached median rose, though Burlington’s average detached price edged up 0.2%.
Which GTA city had the smallest drop in house prices in 2026?
Burlington had the smallest drop among GTA municipalities with at least 140 detached sales. Its median detached price was essentially flat, at $1,249,750 from January to October 2026. Aurora fell 2.0%, Georgina 2.1%, Oakville 3.0% and Clarington 4.1%. By contrast, East Gwillimbury fell 11.1% and Brampton 8.9%, according to TRREB MLS data via REALM.
How much did GTA house prices drop in 2026?
It depends on the city. Median detached prices from January to October 2026 were down anywhere from nothing in Burlington to 11.1% in East Gwillimbury, compared with 2025. Most GTA municipalities fell between 4% and 9%. TRREB reported the average GTA detached price in October 2026 at $1,310,627, down 3.2% from a year earlier.
What are GTA detached house prices by city in 2026?
Median detached prices from January to October 2026 included $1,625,000 in Oakville, $1,485,000 in Richmond Hill, $1,420,000 in Markham, $1,415,000 in Vaughan, $1,249,750 in Burlington, $1,225,000 in Mississauga, $950,000 in Brampton, $820,000 in Clarington and $800,000 in Georgina, according to TRREB MLS data via REALM. These are city-wide medians, not individual home values.
Are Oakville house prices falling?
Only slightly. Oakville’s median detached price was $1,625,000 from January to October 2026, down 3.0% from $1,675,000 a year earlier, according to TRREB MLS data via REALM. That was the fourth-smallest drop of any GTA municipality outside Toronto. Sales actually rose 8.5%, to 1,162, and homes sold in about 33 days on average.
Why are Aurora house prices holding up?
Mostly because they had already fallen. Aurora’s median detached price was $1,370,000 from January to October 2026, down just 2.0% from 2025, but the 2025 median had already dropped from $1,560,500 in 2024. Over two years Aurora is down about 12.2%. Sales rose 9.1% in 2026, which suggests buyers see value at the lower level.
Will GTA house prices go up in 2027?
Forecasts are mixed and cautious. CREA forecast in October 2026 that the national average price would rise about 1.2% in 2027, but that came before the Bank of Canada raised its rate to 2.50% on 28 October 2026. The Bank expects housing to stay relatively weak. In my view, steady markets like Burlington are more likely to hold than to jump.
Sources
- TRREB Market Watch, October 2026
- TRREB news release: October 2026 market results (4 November 2026)
- Bank of Canada: policy rate announcement, 28 October 2026
- Advisor.ca: CREA downgrades home sales forecast (16 October 2026)
- TRREB Community Housing Market Report, Toronto West, Q2 2026
- TRREB Community Housing Market Report, Toronto East, Q2 2026
- TRREB Community Housing Market Report, Toronto Central, Q2 2026
Related reading
- Top 5 Best Neighbourhoods to Live in Mississauga in 2027
- Top 5 Best Neighbourhoods to Live in Brampton in 2027
- Top 5 Best Neighbourhoods to Live in Markham in 2027
- Top 5 Best Neighbourhoods to Live in Oakville in 2027
About the author — Jatin Dua, Toronto and GTA real estate broker
I am Jatin Dua, Broker of Record and co-founder of RE/MAX Quantum Realty Inc., Brokerage, Unit 101, 799 The Queensway, Toronto. I work with buyers and sellers across Toronto and the GTA and have helped more than 100 families sell. Four-plus years of active GTA transactions and over $100 million in sales volume.
Reach me at [email protected] or 833-330-1925, or book a call.